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Nick Diaz

26-10-0 (2 NC)
43y·6' 1"·76" reach·Southpaw
2:10
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.87
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
84%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.3
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss September 2021. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in February 2005, 45 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Sep 2021

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 15 recorded bouts, 872 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 69%Body 24%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 18%Ground 7%
And how often each lands
Head36%
Body69%
Legs58%
Distance38%
Clinch64%
Ground51%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

19Wins10 KO · 6 SUB · 3 DEC
8Losses2 KO · 6 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

56%
Jackson
12%
Lawler
9%
Parisyan
52%
Fickett
4%
Oishi
16%
Sanchez
23%
Riggs
10%
Sherk
17%
Neer
44%
Tibau
23%
Penn
7%
Condit
2%
St-Pierre
0%
Silva
0%
Lawler

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.09100%15
R25.51135%13
R34.0799%11
R42.4059%3
R52.6064%3

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min5.71
Strikes absorbed / min3.84
Striking accuracyof everything thrown42%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed59%
Takedowns / 15 min1.28
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land32%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed60%
Sub attempts / 15 min1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together9.55
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 15 bouts13.6m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

37.9%
Landed at range
1,734 thrown over 15 bouts
31.8%
Expected
against these opponents
+6.2pp
Gap
above expected
78.3%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LRobbie LawlerSep 2021KO R30:00 ctrl150 str0 td
Significant strikes
150 of 339 · 44%
Total strikes
150 of 339 · 44%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:44
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 76%Body 24%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 4%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
NCAnderson SilvaJan 2015NC R50:02 ctrl77 str0 td
Significant strikes
77 of 223 · 35%
Total strikes
80 of 226 · 35%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Overturned, R5 5:00
Failed Drug Test by Silva Sal D'amato 46 - 49. Marcos Rosales 45 - 50. Glenn Trowbridge 45 - 50.
Target
Head 51%Body 14%Legs 35%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 6%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LGeorges St-PierreMar 2013U-DEC0:36 ctrl41 str0 td
Significant strikes
41 of 136 · 30%
Total strikes
80 of 176 · 45%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:36
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 46%Body 46%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 59%Clinch 41%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LCarlos ConditFeb 2012U-DEC1:45 ctrl105 str1 td
Significant strikes
105 of 246 · 43%
Total strikes
117 of 258 · 45%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
1:45
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 54%Body 40%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 1%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WBJ PennOct 2011U-DEC3:23 ctrl178 str0 td
Significant strikes
178 of 350 · 51%
Total strikes
257 of 436 · 59%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
3:23
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 76%Body 22%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 16%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WGleison TibauNov 2006KO R23:17 ctrl24 str0 td
Significant strikes
24 of 51 · 47%
Total strikes
117 of 158 · 74%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
3:17
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
1
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 2:27
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 4%Clinch 0%Ground 96%
This fight on UFCStats
WJosh NeerAug 2006SUB R32:01 ctrl75 str3 td
Significant strikes
75 of 199 · 38%
Total strikes
186 of 328 · 57%
Takedowns
3 of 5 · 60%
Control
2:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 1:42
Kimura From Side Control
Target
Head 65%Body 31%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 47%Clinch 52%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
LSean SherkApr 2006U-DEC1:26 ctrl57 str1 td
Significant strikes
57 of 136 · 42%
Total strikes
131 of 210 · 62%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:26
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
3
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 82%Body 16%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 79%Clinch 19%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
LJoe RiggsFeb 2006U-DEC3:23 ctrl38 str0 td
Significant strikes
38 of 106 · 36%
Total strikes
126 of 200 · 63%
Takedowns
0 of 7 · 0%
Control
3:23
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 61%Body 26%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 39%Clinch 55%Ground 5%
This fight on UFCStats
LDiego SanchezNov 2005U-DEC2:20 ctrl13 str2 td
Significant strikes
13 of 34 · 38%
Total strikes
118 of 144 · 82%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
2:20
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 46%Clinch 38%Ground 15%
This fight on UFCStats
WKoji OishiJun 2005KO R10:03 ctrl25 str0 td
Significant strikes
25 of 44 · 57%
Total strikes
26 of 45 · 58%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:03
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:24
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 80%Body 20%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 68%Clinch 16%Ground 16%
This fight on UFCStats
WDrew FickettFeb 2005KO R12:26 ctrl13 str0 td
Significant strikes
13 of 28 · 46%
Total strikes
136 of 153 · 89%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
2:26
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:40
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 77%Body 15%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 15%Clinch 23%Ground 62%
This fight on UFCStats
LKaro ParisyanAug 2004S-DEC1:18 ctrl37 str1 td
Significant strikes
37 of 102 · 36%
Total strikes
121 of 189 · 64%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
1:18
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
1
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 70%Body 27%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 68%Clinch 30%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WRobbie LawlerApr 2004KO R20:48 ctrl22 str0 td
Significant strikes
22 of 75 · 29%
Total strikes
29 of 83 · 35%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:48
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:31
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 64%Body 14%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 18%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJeremy JacksonSep 2003SUB R36:42 ctrl17 str6 td
Significant strikes
17 of 24 · 71%
Total strikes
92 of 107 · 86%
Takedowns
6 of 13 · 46%
Control
6:42
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 2:04
Armbar From Bottom Guard
Target
Head 82%Body 18%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 6%Clinch 0%Ground 94%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.