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Oban Elliott

12-5-0
28y·6' 0"·72" reach·Orthodox
3:50
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.26
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
25%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.4
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss August 2026. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in January 2026, 75 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Aug 2026

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 6 recorded bouts, 235 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 67%Body 15%Legs 18%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 6%Ground 18%
And how often each lands
Head42%
Body66%
Legs84%
Distance44%
Clinch88%
Ground81%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

4Wins1 KO · 3 DEC
3Losses1 KO · 1 SUB · 1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

60%
Woodburn
33%
Parsons
1%
Hafez
12%
Ko
14%
Micallef
0%
Oliveira

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.47100%6
R23.70107%5
R33.50101%4

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.62
Strikes absorbed / min2.36
Striking accuracyof everything thrown48%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed60%
Takedowns / 15 min1.48
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land38%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed52%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together5.98
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 6 bouts11.0m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

43.8%
Landed at range
409 thrown over 6 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LMichael OliveiraAug 2026KO R10:00 ctrl6 str0 td
Significant strikes
6 of 11 · 55%
Total strikes
6 of 11 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:49
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 67%Body 17%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJonathan MicallefJan 2026SUB R21:11 ctrl40 str0 td
Significant strikes
40 of 82 · 49%
Total strikes
47 of 89 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
1:11
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 3:31
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 85%Body 3%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 13%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LSeokhyeon KoJun 2025U-DEC1:44 ctrl10 str0 td
Significant strikes
10 of 31 · 32%
Total strikes
19 of 40 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
1:44
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 20%Body 60%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 10%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WBassil HafezNov 2024KO R30:05 ctrl65 str0 td
Significant strikes
65 of 117 · 56%
Total strikes
66 of 118 · 56%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:05
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:40
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 34%Body 25%Legs 42%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 3%Ground 12%
This fight on UFCStats
WPreston ParsonsJul 2024U-DEC4:56 ctrl44 str1 td
Significant strikes
44 of 125 · 35%
Total strikes
49 of 142 · 35%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
4:56
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 82%Body 9%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 7%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WVal WoodburnFeb 2024U-DEC8:58 ctrl70 str3 td
Significant strikes
70 of 111 · 63%
Total strikes
136 of 188 · 72%
Takedowns
3 of 5 · 60%
Control
8:58
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 86%Body 10%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 47%Clinch 4%Ground 49%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.