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Paul Kelly

14-5-0
41y·5' 9"·70" reach·Orthodox
5:56
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.61
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
40%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.3
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 9 recorded bouts, 325 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 77%Body 15%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 34%Clinch 14%Ground 51%
And how often each lands
Head33%
Body81%
Legs72%
Distance23%
Clinch56%
Ground58%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

5Wins1 KO · 1 SUB · 3 DEC
4Losses1 KO · 2 SUB · 1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

81%
Taylor
5%
Davis
43%
Mandaloniz
53%
Delgado
12%
Siver
62%
Veach
26%
Volkmann
35%
O'Brien
0%
Cerrone

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.22100%9
R23.0193%9
R33.60112%4

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.22
Strikes absorbed / min2.61
Striking accuracyof everything thrown37%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed59%
Takedowns / 15 min1.34
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land60%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed30%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.5
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together5.83
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 9 bouts11.2m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

23.0%
Landed at range
487 thrown over 9 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LDonald CerroneFeb 2011SUB R20:00 ctrl22 str0 td
Significant strikes
22 of 75 · 29%
Total strikes
29 of 82 · 35%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 3:48
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 73%Body 18%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WTJ O'BrienNov 2010KO R22:54 ctrl44 str1 td
Significant strikes
44 of 104 · 42%
Total strikes
106 of 171 · 62%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
2:54
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:16
Elbows to Head From Crucifix
Target
Head 84%Body 5%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 39%Clinch 5%Ground 57%
This fight on UFCStats
LJacob VolkmannAug 2010U-DEC3:55 ctrl24 str0 td
Significant strikes
24 of 61 · 39%
Total strikes
45 of 85 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
3:55
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
2
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 79%Body 8%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 25%Clinch 13%Ground 63%
This fight on UFCStats
WMatt VeachApr 2010SUB R25:25 ctrl47 str0 td
Significant strikes
47 of 73 · 64%
Total strikes
110 of 145 · 76%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
5:25
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
3
Reversals
2
Ended
Submission, R2 3:41
Guillotine Choke From Front Headlock
Target
Head 87%Body 13%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 19%Clinch 4%Ground 77%
This fight on UFCStats
LDennis SiverNov 2009KO R20:56 ctrl12 str1 td
Significant strikes
12 of 84 · 14%
Total strikes
15 of 87 · 17%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
0:56
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 2:53
Punches to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 75%Body 17%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 58%Clinch 42%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WRolando DelgadoJun 2009U-DEC7:55 ctrl32 str1 td
Significant strikes
32 of 74 · 43%
Total strikes
90 of 134 · 67%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
7:55
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
2
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 84%Body 6%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 6%Clinch 0%Ground 94%
This fight on UFCStats
WTroy MandalonizFeb 2009U-DEC6:23 ctrl71 str2 td
Significant strikes
71 of 190 · 37%
Total strikes
192 of 327 · 59%
Takedowns
2 of 6 · 33%
Control
6:23
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 61%Body 23%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 48%Clinch 31%Ground 21%
This fight on UFCStats
LMarcus DavisOct 2008SUB R20:23 ctrl3 str1 td
Significant strikes
3 of 56 · 5%
Total strikes
3 of 56 · 5%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:23
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 2:16
Guillotine Choke From Bottom Guard
Target
Head 67%Body 33%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WPaul TaylorJan 2008U-DEC12:07 ctrl70 str3 td
Significant strikes
70 of 139 · 50%
Total strikes
154 of 234 · 66%
Takedowns
3 of 3 · 100%
Control
12:07
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 81%Body 19%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 19%Clinch 16%Ground 66%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.