Chin Decay
PredictiveFirst KO loss January 2023. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.
Read the researchThe Record
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Punahele Soriano
“Puna”
13-4-0
33y·5' 11"·72" reach·Southpaw
4:28
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.11
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
50%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
1.2
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed
Tells
Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.
The Odometer
BackwardsCrossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in July 2022, 85 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.
Fired again Jan 2023
Read the researchChecked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.
How they fight
Every significant strike they have landed across 12 recorded bouts, 505 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.
Target
Head 79%Body 19%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 46%Clinch 9%Ground 45%
And how often each lands
Head49%
Body73%
Legs73%
Distance37%
Clinch78%
Ground81%
How fights end
UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.
8Wins4 KO · 4 DEC
4Losses1 KO · 1 SUB · 2 DEC
Control, bout by bout
Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.
38%
Piechota
13%
Todorovic
2%
Allen
11%
Maximov
1%
Lungiambula
1%
Kopylov
0%
Stoltzfus
73%
Baeza
13%
Medic
84%
Veretennikov
33%
Brahimaj
24%
Donchenko
As the fight goes on
Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.
Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.63100%12
R23.8984%9
R33.6379%6
Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.
Career numbers
Strikes landed / min4.42
Strikes absorbed / min3.31
Striking accuracyof everything thrown53%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed47%
Takedowns / 15 min1.97
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land51%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed48%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together7.73
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 12 bouts10.1m
Earned Accuracy
How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.
40.8%
Landed at range
539 thrown over 11 bouts
44.5%
Expected
against these opponents
−3.7pp
Gap
below expected
74.8%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print
Distance strikes only
Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.
One pass, not a rating
How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.
Coverage, and who gets ranked
Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.
Short records get pulled to the middle
An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.
Bout log
LDaniil DonchenkoSep 2026U-DEC3:32 ctrl15 str4 td
Significant strikes
15 of 84 · 18%
Total strikes
43 of 115 · 37%
Takedowns
4 of 11 · 36%
Control
3:32
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 80%Body 20%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 73%Clinch 27%Ground 0%
WRamiz BrahimajFeb 2026U-DEC5:00 ctrl40 str3 td
Significant strikes
40 of 92 · 43%
Total strikes
66 of 123 · 54%
Takedowns
3 of 4 · 75%
Control
5:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 73%Body 28%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 63%Clinch 35%Ground 3%
WNikolay VeretennikovOct 2025U-DEC12:35 ctrl39 str4 td
Significant strikes
39 of 54 · 72%
Total strikes
163 of 200 · 82%
Takedowns
4 of 11 · 36%
Control
12:35
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 97%Body 3%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 3%Clinch 3%Ground 95%
WUros MedicJan 2025KO R10:04 ctrl13 str0 td
Significant strikes
13 of 17 · 76%
Total strikes
13 of 17 · 76%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:31
Punch to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 92%Body 0%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 38%Clinch 0%Ground 62%
WMiguel BaezaJun 2024U-DEC10:58 ctrl144 str5 td
Significant strikes
144 of 175 · 82%
Total strikes
331 of 394 · 84%
Takedowns
5 of 6 · 83%
Control
10:58
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 90%Body 9%Legs 1%
Position
Distance 2%Clinch 3%Ground 94%
LDustin StoltzfusDec 2023SUB R20:00 ctrl31 str0 td
Significant strikes
31 of 73 · 42%
Total strikes
33 of 76 · 43%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 4:10
Rear Naked ChokeTarget
Head 58%Body 29%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
LRoman KopylovJan 2023KO R20:06 ctrl39 str0 td
Significant strikes
39 of 107 · 36%
Total strikes
39 of 107 · 36%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
0:06
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 3:19
Kick to Body At DistanceTarget
Head 90%Body 10%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 15%Ground 0%
WDalcha LungiambulaJul 2022KO R20:04 ctrl17 str0 td
Significant strikes
17 of 35 · 49%
Total strikes
19 of 37 · 51%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 0:28
Punch to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 47%Body 53%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 53%Clinch 24%Ground 24%
LNick MaximovFeb 2022S-DEC1:37 ctrl45 str0 td
Significant strikes
45 of 63 · 71%
Total strikes
74 of 93 · 80%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:37
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 62%Body 38%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 44%Clinch 4%Ground 51%
LBrendan AllenJul 2021U-DEC0:21 ctrl66 str0 td
Significant strikes
66 of 149 · 44%
Total strikes
66 of 149 · 44%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:21
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 70%Body 26%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
WDusko TodorovicJan 2021KO R10:38 ctrl30 str0 td
Significant strikes
30 of 66 · 45%
Total strikes
32 of 69 · 46%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:38
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:48
Punch to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 83%Body 13%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 70%Clinch 13%Ground 17%
WOskar PiechotaDec 2019KO R11:14 ctrl26 str1 td
Significant strikes
26 of 44 · 59%
Total strikes
26 of 46 · 57%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:14
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:17
Punch to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 77%Body 23%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 38%Clinch 8%Ground 54%