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Rafael Natal

21-9-1
43y·6' 0"·77" reach·Orthodox
3:48
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.62
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
22%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.8
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 17 recorded bouts, 656 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 58%Body 14%Legs 28%
Position
Distance 66%Clinch 12%Ground 22%
And how often each lands
Head39%
Body54%
Legs83%
Distance41%
Clinch71%
Ground69%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

9Wins1 KO · 1 SUB · 7 DEC
7Losses4 KO · 3 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

11%
Attonito
40%
Bongfeldt
0%
Bradley
43%
Kuiper
15%
Craig
47%
Spencer
32%
Zeferino
54%
Troeng
0%
Kennedy
32%
Herman
18%
Camozzi
23%
Watson
19%
Hall
41%
Casey
0%
Whittaker
0%
Boetsch
0%
Anders

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.84100%17
R23.61127%14
R32.86101%13

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.1
Strikes absorbed / min2.48
Striking accuracyof everything thrown47%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed57%
Takedowns / 15 min2.55
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land34%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed77%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.5
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together5.58
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 17 bouts12.4m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

41.2%
Landed at range
1,049 thrown over 17 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LEryk AndersJul 2017KO R10:00 ctrl14 str0 td
Significant strikes
14 of 23 · 61%
Total strikes
15 of 24 · 63%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:54
Punch to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 57%Body 14%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 7%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LTim BoetschNov 2016KO R10:00 ctrl5 str0 td
Significant strikes
5 of 18 · 28%
Total strikes
5 of 18 · 28%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:22
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 40%Body 20%Legs 40%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LRobert WhittakerApr 2016U-DEC0:00 ctrl62 str0 td
Significant strikes
62 of 137 · 45%
Total strikes
63 of 138 · 46%
Takedowns
0 of 4 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 58%Body 6%Legs 35%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WKevin CaseyJan 2016KO R35:31 ctrl54 str4 td
Significant strikes
54 of 87 · 62%
Total strikes
123 of 168 · 73%
Takedowns
4 of 7 · 57%
Control
5:31
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 3:37
Punches to Head From Mount
Target
Head 80%Body 9%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 30%Clinch 13%Ground 57%
This fight on UFCStats
WUriah HallMay 2015S-DEC2:55 ctrl45 str1 td
Significant strikes
45 of 103 · 44%
Total strikes
63 of 125 · 50%
Takedowns
1 of 11 · 9%
Control
2:55
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 33%Body 13%Legs 53%
Position
Distance 69%Clinch 31%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WTom WatsonJan 2015U-DEC3:30 ctrl67 str8 td
Significant strikes
67 of 152 · 44%
Total strikes
74 of 159 · 47%
Takedowns
8 of 13 · 62%
Control
3:30
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 64%Body 9%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 1%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WChris CamozziSep 2014S-DEC2:44 ctrl36 str2 td
Significant strikes
36 of 73 · 49%
Total strikes
46 of 84 · 55%
Takedowns
2 of 12 · 17%
Control
2:44
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 17%Body 44%Legs 39%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 17%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LEd HermanMay 2014U-DEC4:46 ctrl35 str1 td
Significant strikes
35 of 73 · 48%
Total strikes
71 of 114 · 62%
Takedowns
1 of 6 · 17%
Control
4:46
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 43%Body 23%Legs 34%
Position
Distance 54%Clinch 23%Ground 23%
This fight on UFCStats
LTim KennedyNov 2013KO R10:00 ctrl13 str0 td
Significant strikes
13 of 35 · 37%
Total strikes
13 of 35 · 37%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:40
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 38%Body 15%Legs 46%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WTor TroengSep 2013U-DEC8:03 ctrl39 str0 td
Significant strikes
39 of 62 · 63%
Total strikes
57 of 81 · 70%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
8:03
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 74%Body 13%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 18%Clinch 3%Ground 79%
This fight on UFCStats
WJoao ZeferinoMay 2013U-DEC4:52 ctrl29 str1 td
Significant strikes
29 of 67 · 43%
Total strikes
112 of 162 · 69%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
4:52
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 59%Body 17%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 28%Clinch 17%Ground 55%
This fight on UFCStats
WSean SpencerJan 2013SUB R35:42 ctrl64 str4 td
Significant strikes
64 of 111 · 58%
Total strikes
122 of 170 · 72%
Takedowns
4 of 6 · 67%
Control
5:42
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
4
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 2:13
Arm Triangle From Mount
Target
Head 73%Body 9%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 39%Clinch 2%Ground 59%
This fight on UFCStats
LAndrew CraigJul 2012KO R21:30 ctrl73 str2 td
Significant strikes
73 of 109 · 67%
Total strikes
79 of 115 · 69%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
1:30
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:52
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 64%Body 14%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 67%Clinch 15%Ground 18%
This fight on UFCStats
WMichael KuiperFeb 2012U-DEC6:24 ctrl36 str6 td
Significant strikes
36 of 72 · 50%
Total strikes
61 of 98 · 62%
Takedowns
6 of 16 · 38%
Control
6:24
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 69%Body 14%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 67%Clinch 31%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WPaul BradleyAug 2011U-DEC0:03 ctrl43 str0 td
Significant strikes
43 of 123 · 35%
Total strikes
55 of 135 · 41%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 40%Body 14%Legs 47%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 12%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
DJesse BongfeldtDec 2010M-DEC6:03 ctrl13 str5 td
Significant strikes
13 of 23 · 57%
Total strikes
45 of 63 · 71%
Takedowns
5 of 8 · 63%
Control
6:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Majority decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 77%Body 8%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 15%Clinch 46%Ground 38%
This fight on UFCStats
LRich AttonitoSep 2010U-DEC1:36 ctrl28 str2 td
Significant strikes
28 of 102 · 27%
Total strikes
51 of 132 · 39%
Takedowns
2 of 9 · 22%
Control
1:36
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 18%Legs 32%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 4%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.