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Raoni Barcelos

22-5-0
39y·5' 7"·67" reach·Orthodox
3:42
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.41
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
36%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.5
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss January 2023. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in November 2018, 88 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Jan 2023

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 15 recorded bouts, 918 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 73%Body 14%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 74%Clinch 7%Ground 19%
And how often each lands
Head46%
Body76%
Legs86%
Distance46%
Clinch80%
Ground77%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

11Wins2 KO · 2 SUB · 7 DEC
4Losses1 KO · 3 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

22%
Holobaugh
58%
Gutierrez
35%
Huachin
17%
Nurmagomedov
22%
Taha
9%
Valiev
2%
Henry
47%
Jones
0%
Nurmagomedov
11%
Phillips
9%
Quinonez
65%
Talbott
16%
Garbrandt
1%
Simon
52%
Jackson

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.05100%15
R25.46179%14
R35.84191%12

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.65
Strikes absorbed / min4.24
Striking accuracyof everything thrown51%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed60%
Takedowns / 15 min2.51
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land31%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed87%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.7
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.89
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 15 bouts13.2m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

46.3%
Landed at range
1,471 thrown over 15 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WMontel JacksonApr 2026S-DEC7:45 ctrl21 str6 td
Significant strikes
21 of 38 · 55%
Total strikes
33 of 51 · 65%
Takedowns
6 of 18 · 33%
Control
7:45
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 33%Body 38%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 62%Clinch 33%Ground 5%
This fight on UFCStats
WRicky SimonNov 2025U-DEC0:09 ctrl82 str1 td
Significant strikes
82 of 187 · 44%
Total strikes
86 of 194 · 44%
Takedowns
1 of 8 · 13%
Control
0:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 65%Body 23%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WCody GarbrandtJun 2025U-DEC2:26 ctrl37 str1 td
Significant strikes
37 of 85 · 44%
Total strikes
43 of 93 · 46%
Takedowns
1 of 11 · 9%
Control
2:26
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 84%Body 0%Legs 16%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 11%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WPayton TalbottJan 2025U-DEC9:43 ctrl62 str8 td
Significant strikes
62 of 85 · 73%
Total strikes
91 of 115 · 79%
Takedowns
8 of 15 · 53%
Control
9:43
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 95%Body 3%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 29%Clinch 8%Ground 63%
This fight on UFCStats
WCristian QuinonezFeb 2024SUB R31:02 ctrl43 str2 td
Significant strikes
43 of 74 · 58%
Total strikes
48 of 81 · 59%
Takedowns
2 of 12 · 17%
Control
1:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 2:04
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 60%Body 12%Legs 28%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 9%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
LKyler PhillipsAug 2023U-DEC1:42 ctrl46 str3 td
Significant strikes
46 of 116 · 40%
Total strikes
52 of 124 · 42%
Takedowns
3 of 11 · 27%
Control
1:42
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 43%Body 33%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 15%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LUmar NurmagomedovJan 2023KO R10:00 ctrl13 str0 td
Significant strikes
13 of 24 · 54%
Total strikes
14 of 25 · 56%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:40
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 46%Body 38%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 77%Clinch 23%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WTrevin JonesOct 2022U-DEC7:07 ctrl73 str2 td
Significant strikes
73 of 119 · 61%
Total strikes
119 of 171 · 70%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
7:07
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 70%Body 26%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 53%Clinch 3%Ground 44%
This fight on UFCStats
LVictor HenryJan 2022U-DEC0:15 ctrl134 str1 td
Significant strikes
134 of 277 · 48%
Total strikes
134 of 277 · 48%
Takedowns
1 of 7 · 14%
Control
0:15
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 80%Body 7%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 6%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
LTimur ValievJun 2021M-DEC1:23 ctrl69 str0 td
Significant strikes
69 of 131 · 53%
Total strikes
81 of 144 · 56%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:23
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Majority decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 72%Body 12%Legs 16%
Position
Distance 77%Clinch 1%Ground 22%
This fight on UFCStats
WKhalid TahaNov 2020U-DEC3:15 ctrl120 str2 td
Significant strikes
120 of 207 · 58%
Total strikes
129 of 219 · 59%
Takedowns
2 of 4 · 50%
Control
3:15
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 71%Body 14%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 6%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
WSaid NurmagomedovDec 2019U-DEC2:37 ctrl42 str2 td
Significant strikes
42 of 100 · 42%
Total strikes
52 of 112 · 46%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
2:37
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 38%Body 19%Legs 43%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 12%Ground 12%
This fight on UFCStats
WCarlos HuachinMay 2019KO R23:24 ctrl59 str0 td
Significant strikes
59 of 123 · 48%
Total strikes
70 of 137 · 51%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
3:24
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:49
Elbows to Head From Half Guard
Target
Head 88%Body 5%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 39%Clinch 2%Ground 59%
This fight on UFCStats
WChris GutierrezNov 2018SUB R25:22 ctrl35 str2 td
Significant strikes
35 of 63 · 56%
Total strikes
83 of 118 · 70%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
5:22
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 4:12
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 94%Body 0%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 9%Clinch 0%Ground 91%
This fight on UFCStats
WKurt HolobaughJul 2018KO R32:34 ctrl82 str3 td
Significant strikes
82 of 146 · 56%
Total strikes
95 of 160 · 59%
Takedowns
3 of 4 · 75%
Control
2:34
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 1:29
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 93%Body 6%Legs 1%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 10%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.