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Rodrigo Nascimento

11-3-0 (1 NC)
33y·6' 2"·80" reach·Orthodox
3:33
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.63
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
40%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss October 2020. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again May 2024

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 8 recorded bouts, 314 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 71%Body 16%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 12%Ground 6%
And how often each lands
Head41%
Body74%
Legs93%
Distance44%
Clinch76%
Ground86%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

5Wins2 SUB · 3 DEC
3Losses2 KO · 1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

34%
Mayes
0%
Daukaus
41%
Baudot
53%
Boser
0%
Latifi
16%
Mayes
44%
Lewis
0%
Romanov

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.69100%8
R23.99108%7
R33.2789%5

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.71
Strikes absorbed / min4.34
Striking accuracyof everything thrown47%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed44%
Takedowns / 15 min1.02
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land37%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed60%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.5
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.05
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 8 bouts10.6m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

43.7%
Landed at range
593 thrown over 8 bouts
44.4%
Expected
against these opponents
−0.7pp
Gap
below expected
77.4%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LAlexandr RomanovNov 2024U-DEC0:00 ctrl31 str0 td
Significant strikes
31 of 91 · 34%
Total strikes
48 of 108 · 44%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 61%Body 23%Legs 16%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LDerrick LewisMay 2024KO R34:46 ctrl27 str1 td
Significant strikes
27 of 41 · 66%
Total strikes
72 of 92 · 78%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
4:46
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:49
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 59%Body 26%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 30%Clinch 22%Ground 48%
This fight on UFCStats
WDon'Tale MayesNov 2023U-DEC2:21 ctrl70 str0 td
Significant strikes
70 of 154 · 45%
Total strikes
91 of 180 · 51%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
2:21
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 73%Body 13%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 17%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WIlir LatifiMay 2023S-DEC0:00 ctrl68 str0 td
Significant strikes
68 of 152 · 45%
Total strikes
76 of 160 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 75%Body 15%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 90%Clinch 10%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WTanner BoserSep 2022S-DEC8:01 ctrl36 str3 td
Significant strikes
36 of 86 · 42%
Total strikes
91 of 149 · 61%
Takedowns
3 of 7 · 43%
Control
8:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 89%Body 11%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 11%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
NCAlan BaudotJul 2021NC R22:39 ctrl49 str0 td
Significant strikes
49 of 83 · 59%
Total strikes
51 of 85 · 60%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
2:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Overturned, R2 1:29
Failed Drug Test By Nascimento
Target
Head 84%Body 12%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 8%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LChris DaukausOct 2020KO R10:00 ctrl1 str0 td
Significant strikes
1 of 4 · 25%
Total strikes
1 of 4 · 25%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:45
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 0%Body 0%Legs 100%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WDon'Tale MayesMay 2020SUB R22:23 ctrl32 str2 td
Significant strikes
32 of 52 · 62%
Total strikes
45 of 65 · 69%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
2:23
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 2:05
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 44%Body 19%Legs 38%
Position
Distance 81%Clinch 9%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.