Chin Decay
PredictiveFirst KO loss March 2024. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.
Fired again Apr 2025
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Sedriques Dumas
10-5-0 (1 NC)
31y·6' 2"·79" reach·Orthodox
5:08
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.67
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
25%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed
Tells
Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.
Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.
How they fight
Every significant strike they have landed across 9 recorded bouts, 135 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.
Target
Head 46%Body 19%Legs 35%
Position
Distance 77%Clinch 5%Ground 18%
And how often each lands
Head31%
Body59%
Legs81%
Distance39%
Clinch88%
Ground86%
How fights end
UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.
4Wins1 SUB · 3 DEC
5Losses2 KO · 3 SUB
Control, bout by bout
Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.
1%
Fremd
74%
Brundage
28%
Azaitar
0%
Ruziboev
40%
Tiuliulin
0%
Oleksiejczuk
0%
Reese
32%
Johnson
1%
McVey
As the fight goes on
Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.
Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R11.43100%9
R22.68187%5
R32.27158%3
Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.
Career numbers
Strikes landed / min1.97
Strikes absorbed / min2.64
Striking accuracyof everything thrown44%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed53%
Takedowns / 15 min1.3
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land31%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed33%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.2
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together4.61
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 9 bouts7.6m
Earned Accuracy
How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.
38.7%
Landed at range
269 thrown over 9 bouts
47.3%
Expected
against these opponents
−8.6pp
Gap
below expected
65.9%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print
Distance strikes only
Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.
One pass, not a rating
How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.
Coverage, and who gets ranked
Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.
Short records get pulled to the middle
An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.
Bout log
LJackson McVeyApr 2026SUB R10:02 ctrl3 str0 td
Significant strikes
3 of 4 · 75%
Total strikes
9 of 11 · 82%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:14
D'Arce Choke On GroundTarget
Head 0%Body 67%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 33%Clinch 67%Ground 0%
LDonte JohnsonNov 2025SUB R22:03 ctrl5 str1 td
Significant strikes
5 of 16 · 31%
Total strikes
12 of 23 · 52%
Takedowns
1 of 5 · 20%
Control
2:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 1:25
Guillotine Choke On GroundTarget
Head 0%Body 80%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 60%Clinch 40%Ground 0%
NCZach ReeseSep 2025NC R10:00 ctrl3 str0 td
Significant strikes
3 of 10 · 30%
Total strikes
3 of 10 · 30%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Could not continue, R1 0:51
Kick to Groin by ReeseTarget
Head 33%Body 0%Legs 67%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
LMichal OleksiejczukApr 2025KO R10:00 ctrl3 str0 td
Significant strikes
3 of 26 · 12%
Total strikes
3 of 26 · 12%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:49
Punches to Head On GroundTarget
Head 0%Body 67%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
WDenis TiuliulinAug 2024U-DEC6:00 ctrl49 str3 td
Significant strikes
49 of 88 · 56%
Total strikes
95 of 140 · 68%
Takedowns
3 of 10 · 30%
Control
6:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 57%Body 18%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 2%Ground 16%
LNursulton RuziboevMar 2024KO R10:00 ctrl1 str0 td
Significant strikes
1 of 16 · 6%
Total strikes
1 of 16 · 6%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:18
Punch to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
WAbu AzaitarOct 2023U-DEC4:10 ctrl34 str1 td
Significant strikes
34 of 79 · 43%
Total strikes
72 of 117 · 62%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
4:10
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 32%Body 15%Legs 53%
Position
Distance 91%Clinch 0%Ground 9%
WCody BrundageJun 2023U-DEC11:08 ctrl17 str0 td
Significant strikes
17 of 22 · 77%
Total strikes
77 of 96 · 80%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
11:08
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
2
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 76%Body 12%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 18%Clinch 6%Ground 76%
LJosh FremdMar 2023SUB R20:07 ctrl20 str0 td
Significant strikes
20 of 44 · 45%
Total strikes
23 of 47 · 49%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:07
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Submission, R2 3:00
Guillotine Choke From Half GuardTarget
Head 40%Body 10%Legs 50%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%