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Sergei Pavlovich

21-3-0
34y·6' 3"·84" reach·Southpaw
1:48
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.91
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
78%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
2.8
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss November 2018. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Nov 2023

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 12 recorded bouts, 285 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 83%Body 11%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 7%Ground 11%
And how often each lands
Head41%
Body65%
Legs95%
Distance42%
Clinch53%
Ground69%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

9Wins7 KO · 2 DEC
3Losses2 KO · 1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

5%
Overeem
2%
Golm
11%
Greene
5%
Abdurakhimov
4%
Lewis
17%
Tuivasa
1%
Blaydes
0%
Aspinall
2%
Volkov
42%
Rozenstruik
1%
Acosta
13%
Teixeira

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R15.63100%12
R22.6747%3
R33.8068%3

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.49
Strikes absorbed / min3.58
Striking accuracyof everything thrown44%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed56%
Takedowns / 15 min0.47
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land25%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed75%
Sub attempts / 15 min0
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.07
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 12 bouts5.3m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

42.2%
Landed at range
557 thrown over 12 bouts
42.0%
Expected
against these opponents
+0.2pp
Gap
above expected
89.8%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WTallison TeixeiraMay 2026KO R10:05 ctrl7 str0 td
Significant strikes
7 of 9 · 78%
Total strikes
10 of 13 · 77%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:05
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:39
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 0%Ground 14%
This fight on UFCStats
WWaldo Cortes AcostaAug 2025U-DEC0:08 ctrl61 str0 td
Significant strikes
61 of 133 · 46%
Total strikes
63 of 136 · 46%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
0:08
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 57%Body 20%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJairzinho RozenstruikFeb 2025U-DEC6:17 ctrl25 str2 td
Significant strikes
25 of 60 · 42%
Total strikes
145 of 208 · 70%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
6:17
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 84%Body 8%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlexander VolkovJun 2024U-DEC0:15 ctrl46 str0 td
Significant strikes
46 of 134 · 34%
Total strikes
46 of 134 · 34%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:15
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 83%Body 15%Legs 2%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LTom AspinallNov 2023KO R10:00 ctrl1 str0 td
Significant strikes
1 of 7 · 14%
Total strikes
1 of 7 · 14%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:09
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WCurtis BlaydesApr 2023KO R10:02 ctrl36 str0 td
Significant strikes
36 of 85 · 42%
Total strikes
36 of 85 · 42%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:08
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 83%Body 17%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 0%Ground 11%
This fight on UFCStats
WTai TuivasaDec 2022KO R10:09 ctrl23 str0 td
Significant strikes
23 of 44 · 52%
Total strikes
23 of 44 · 52%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:09
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:54
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 70%Clinch 4%Ground 26%
This fight on UFCStats
WDerrick LewisJul 2022KO R10:02 ctrl15 str0 td
Significant strikes
15 of 24 · 63%
Total strikes
15 of 24 · 63%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:55
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 0%Ground 7%
This fight on UFCStats
WShamil AbdurakhimovMar 2022KO R10:12 ctrl21 str0 td
Significant strikes
21 of 47 · 45%
Total strikes
22 of 48 · 46%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:12
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:03
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 29%Clinch 19%Ground 52%
This fight on UFCStats
WMaurice GreeneOct 2019KO R10:15 ctrl20 str0 td
Significant strikes
20 of 37 · 54%
Total strikes
21 of 38 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:15
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:11
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 35%Clinch 25%Ground 40%
This fight on UFCStats
WMarcelo GolmApr 2019KO R10:01 ctrl17 str0 td
Significant strikes
17 of 26 · 65%
Total strikes
17 of 26 · 65%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:06
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 100%Body 0%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 18%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlistair OvereemNov 2018KO R10:12 ctrl13 str0 td
Significant strikes
13 of 32 · 41%
Total strikes
18 of 37 · 49%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:21
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 69%Body 23%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 62%Clinch 38%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.