Chin Decay
PredictiveFirst KO loss April 2024. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.
Read the researchThe Record
Back to the card
This fight on UFCStatsThis fight on UFCStatsThis fight on UFCStatsThis fight on UFCStatsThis fight on UFCStatsThis fight on UFCStatsThis fight on UFCStatsThis fight on UFCStatsThis fight on UFCStatsThis fight on UFCStats
Sodiq Yusuff
13-5-0
33y·5' 9"·71" reach·Orthodox
2:39
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.98
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
43%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.6
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed
Tells
Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.
The Odometer
BackwardsCrossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in April 2021, 69 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.
Fired again Apr 2024
Read the researchChecked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.
How they fight
Every significant strike they have landed across 10 recorded bouts, 539 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.
Target
Head 57%Body 18%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 78%Clinch 13%Ground 9%
And how often each lands
Head38%
Body71%
Legs82%
Distance45%
Clinch72%
Ground68%
How fights end
UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.
7Wins2 KO · 1 SUB · 4 DEC
4Losses1 KO · 3 DEC
Control, bout by bout
Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.
43%
Mokhtarian
18%
Moraes
2%
Benitez
28%
Fili
17%
Allen
18%
Caceres
7%
Shainis
16%
Barboza
0%
Lopes
14%
Santos
As the fight goes on
Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.
Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R15.45100%10
R24.6084%6
R34.2077%6
R47.00—1
R56.00—1
Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.
Career numbers
Strikes landed / min5.27
Strikes absorbed / min4.29
Striking accuracyof everything thrown49%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed53%
Takedowns / 15 min0.36
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land23%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed62%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.4
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together9.56
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 10 bouts10.8m
Earned Accuracy
How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.
44.7%
Landed at range
947 thrown over 10 bouts
34.9%
Expected
against these opponents
+9.8pp
Gap
above expected
88.5%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print
Distance strikes only
Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.
One pass, not a rating
How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.
Coverage, and who gets ranked
Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.
Short records get pulled to the middle
An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.
Bout log
LMairon SantosMay 2025U-DEC2:02 ctrl36 str1 td
Significant strikes
36 of 86 · 42%
Total strikes
60 of 115 · 52%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
2:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 25%Body 25%Legs 50%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 3%Ground 0%
LDiego LopesApr 2024KO R10:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 5 · 40%
Total strikes
2 of 5 · 40%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:29
Punches to Head From Back ControlTarget
Head 50%Body 0%Legs 50%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
LEdson BarbozaOct 2023U-DEC3:56 ctrl178 str1 td
Significant strikes
178 of 351 · 51%
Total strikes
206 of 397 · 52%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
3:56
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 71%Body 8%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 8%Ground 8%
WDon ShainisOct 2022SUB R10:02 ctrl9 str0 td
Significant strikes
9 of 9 · 100%
Total strikes
9 of 9 · 100%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 0:30
Guillotine Choke After Drop to GuardTarget
Head 11%Body 89%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 22%Clinch 78%Ground 0%
WAlex CaceresMar 2022U-DEC2:42 ctrl64 str1 td
Significant strikes
64 of 123 · 52%
Total strikes
74 of 133 · 56%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
2:42
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 28%Body 19%Legs 53%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 8%Ground 0%
LArnold AllenApr 2021U-DEC2:33 ctrl47 str0 td
Significant strikes
47 of 113 · 42%
Total strikes
79 of 164 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
2:33
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 51%Body 26%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 62%Clinch 38%Ground 0%
WAndre FiliJan 2020U-DEC4:14 ctrl73 str0 td
Significant strikes
73 of 155 · 47%
Total strikes
90 of 177 · 51%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
4:14
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 74%Body 14%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 68%Clinch 4%Ground 27%
WGabriel BenitezAug 2019KO R10:04 ctrl34 str0 td
Significant strikes
34 of 79 · 43%
Total strikes
34 of 79 · 43%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:14
Punch to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 74%Body 12%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 0%Ground 12%
WSheymon MoraesMar 2019U-DEC2:38 ctrl73 str0 td
Significant strikes
73 of 148 · 49%
Total strikes
99 of 177 · 56%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
2:38
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 44%Body 34%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 67%Clinch 21%Ground 12%
WSuman MokhtarianDec 2018KO R10:57 ctrl23 str0 td
Significant strikes
23 of 43 · 53%
Total strikes
44 of 66 · 67%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:57
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:14
Punches to Head At DistanceTarget
Head 78%Body 17%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 83%Clinch 17%Ground 0%