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Thiago Moises

19-10-0
31y·5' 9"·70" reach·Orthodox
3:16
Control / 15m
time on top
-1.88
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
56%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.2
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss November 2021. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again May 2025

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in May 2020, 66 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again May 2025

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 16 recorded bouts, 433 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 63%Body 13%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 6%Ground 19%
And how often each lands
Head34%
Body60%
Legs78%
Distance37%
Clinch69%
Ground80%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

9Wins2 KO · 3 SUB · 4 DEC
8Losses3 KO · 1 SUB · 4 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

0%
Dariush
52%
Holobaugh
3%
Ismagulov
0%
Johnson
12%
Green
0%
Hernandez
19%
Makhachev
0%
Alvarez
83%
Giagos
61%
Costa
2%
Denis
64%
Ramirez
8%
Klein
50%
Ogden
0%
Gordon
17%
Young

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R12.01100%16
R22.64131%13
R32.74136%10
R41.151

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min2.52
Strikes absorbed / min4.4
Striking accuracyof everything thrown42%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed52%
Takedowns / 15 min1.37
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land29%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed52%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.92
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 16 bouts11.4m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

37.0%
Landed at range
882 thrown over 16 bouts
40.5%
Expected
against these opponents
−3.5pp
Gap
below expected
80.1%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LGauge YoungApr 2026S-DEC2:33 ctrl45 str2 td
Significant strikes
45 of 101 · 45%
Total strikes
46 of 103 · 45%
Takedowns
2 of 15 · 13%
Control
2:33
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 76%Body 2%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 93%Clinch 4%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
LJared GordonMay 2025KO R10:00 ctrl5 str0 td
Significant strikes
5 of 9 · 56%
Total strikes
11 of 16 · 69%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:37
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 60%Body 0%Legs 40%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WTrey OgdenJan 2025U-DEC7:30 ctrl55 str0 td
Significant strikes
55 of 94 · 59%
Total strikes
75 of 124 · 60%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
7:30
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 65%Body 4%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 40%Clinch 0%Ground 60%
This fight on UFCStats
LLudovit KleinJun 2024U-DEC1:09 ctrl24 str0 td
Significant strikes
24 of 60 · 40%
Total strikes
25 of 62 · 40%
Takedowns
0 of 8 · 0%
Control
1:09
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 29%Body 13%Legs 58%
Position
Distance 92%Clinch 8%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WMitch RamirezMar 2024KO R36:36 ctrl25 str2 td
Significant strikes
25 of 39 · 64%
Total strikes
53 of 72 · 74%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
6:36
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:15
Kick to Leg At Distance
Target
Head 40%Body 12%Legs 48%
Position
Distance 68%Clinch 8%Ground 24%
This fight on UFCStats
LBenoit Saint DenisSep 2023KO R20:14 ctrl24 str1 td
Significant strikes
24 of 62 · 39%
Total strikes
27 of 67 · 40%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
0:14
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 4:44
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 50%Body 42%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 4%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WMelquizael CostaJan 2023SUB R25:31 ctrl22 str4 td
Significant strikes
22 of 33 · 67%
Total strikes
45 of 58 · 78%
Takedowns
4 of 7 · 57%
Control
5:31
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 4:05
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 64%Body 32%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 50%Clinch 5%Ground 45%
This fight on UFCStats
WChristos GiagosJun 2022SUB R12:34 ctrl3 str1 td
Significant strikes
3 of 4 · 75%
Total strikes
7 of 9 · 78%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
2:34
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 3:05
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 67%Body 0%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 67%Clinch 33%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJoel AlvarezNov 2021KO R10:00 ctrl11 str0 td
Significant strikes
11 of 24 · 46%
Total strikes
11 of 24 · 46%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:01
Elbows to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 45%Body 27%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LIslam MakhachevJul 2021SUB R43:24 ctrl13 str1 td
Significant strikes
13 of 44 · 30%
Total strikes
18 of 51 · 35%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
3:24
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R4 2:38
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 46%Body 38%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 69%Clinch 23%Ground 8%
This fight on UFCStats
WAlexander HernandezFeb 2021U-DEC0:00 ctrl53 str0 td
Significant strikes
53 of 183 · 29%
Total strikes
53 of 183 · 29%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 68%Body 9%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WKing GreenOct 2020U-DEC1:51 ctrl42 str2 td
Significant strikes
42 of 119 · 35%
Total strikes
43 of 120 · 36%
Takedowns
2 of 3 · 67%
Control
1:51
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 69%Body 12%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WMichael JohnsonMay 2020SUB R20:00 ctrl1 str0 td
Significant strikes
1 of 16 · 6%
Total strikes
1 of 16 · 6%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 0:25
Ankle Lock After Drop to Ground
Target
Head 0%Body 0%Legs 100%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LDamir IsmagulovAug 2019U-DEC0:24 ctrl36 str0 td
Significant strikes
36 of 114 · 32%
Total strikes
37 of 115 · 32%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
0:24
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 44%Body 19%Legs 36%
Position
Distance 89%Clinch 11%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WKurt HolobaughMay 2019U-DEC7:52 ctrl66 str4 td
Significant strikes
66 of 102 · 65%
Total strikes
115 of 160 · 72%
Takedowns
4 of 6 · 67%
Control
7:52
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 89%Body 3%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 42%Clinch 12%Ground 45%
This fight on UFCStats
LBeneil DariushNov 2018U-DEC0:00 ctrl8 str0 td
Significant strikes
8 of 16 · 50%
Total strikes
20 of 30 · 67%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
4
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 63%Body 38%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 13%Ground 13%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.