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Thiago Santos

22-11-0
42y·6' 2"·76" reach·Orthodox
1:59
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.15
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
79%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
1.6
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss July 2016. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Aug 2022

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 24 recorded bouts, 888 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 51%Body 23%Legs 26%
Position
Distance 58%Clinch 17%Ground 25%
And how often each lands
Head37%
Body66%
Legs72%
Distance40%
Clinch83%
Ground60%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

14Wins11 KO · 3 DEC
10Losses3 KO · 3 SUB · 4 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

9%
Ferreira
26%
Markes
7%
Hall
6%
Enz
3%
Bosse
6%
Theodorou
12%
Marquardt
0%
Mousasi
37%
Spicely
23%
Marshman
31%
Meerschaert
1%
Hermansson
55%
Smith
0%
Branch
64%
Holland
13%
Anders
23%
Manuwa
1%
Blachowicz
0%
Jones
11%
Teixeira
0%
Rakic
0%
Walker
1%
Ankalaev
34%
Hill

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.86100%24
R23.5592%15
R34.63120%11
R42.6368%4
R51.8748%3

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.72
Strikes absorbed / min2.57
Striking accuracyof everything thrown48%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed53%
Takedowns / 15 min0.88
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land33%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed65%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.1
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.29
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 24 bouts9.9m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

39.8%
Landed at range
1,285 thrown over 24 bouts
37.8%
Expected
against these opponents
+2.1pp
Gap
above expected
72.6%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LJamahal HillAug 2022KO R45:54 ctrl53 str6 td
Significant strikes
53 of 94 · 56%
Total strikes
56 of 98 · 57%
Takedowns
6 of 20 · 30%
Control
5:54
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R4 2:31
Elbows to Head On Ground
Target
Head 53%Body 25%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 81%Clinch 15%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
LMagomed AnkalaevMar 2022U-DEC0:17 ctrl60 str0 td
Significant strikes
60 of 138 · 43%
Total strikes
81 of 160 · 51%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:17
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 23%Body 27%Legs 50%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 2%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WJohnny WalkerOct 2021U-DEC0:00 ctrl44 str0 td
Significant strikes
44 of 105 · 42%
Total strikes
44 of 105 · 42%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 20%Body 36%Legs 43%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAleksandar RakicMar 2021U-DEC0:00 ctrl49 str0 td
Significant strikes
49 of 97 · 51%
Total strikes
61 of 109 · 56%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 20%Body 47%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 29%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LGlover TeixeiraNov 2020SUB R31:18 ctrl40 str0 td
Significant strikes
40 of 64 · 63%
Total strikes
81 of 109 · 74%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:18
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 1:49
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 95%Body 0%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 28%Clinch 0%Ground 73%
This fight on UFCStats
LJon JonesJul 2019S-DEC0:00 ctrl43 str0 td
Significant strikes
43 of 166 · 26%
Total strikes
43 of 166 · 26%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 21%Body 16%Legs 63%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJan BlachowiczFeb 2019KO R30:08 ctrl52 str1 td
Significant strikes
52 of 104 · 50%
Total strikes
52 of 104 · 50%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:08
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 0:39
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 40%Body 10%Legs 50%
Position
Distance 73%Clinch 2%Ground 25%
This fight on UFCStats
WJimi ManuwaDec 2018KO R21:19 ctrl42 str1 td
Significant strikes
42 of 74 · 57%
Total strikes
65 of 97 · 67%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
1:19
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 0:41
Punch to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 64%Body 31%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 48%Clinch 52%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WEryk AndersSep 2018KO R31:54 ctrl100 str1 td
Significant strikes
100 of 152 · 66%
Total strikes
115 of 167 · 69%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:54
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 5:00
to
Target
Head 65%Body 25%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 41%Clinch 46%Ground 13%
This fight on UFCStats
WKevin HollandAug 2018U-DEC9:40 ctrl69 str3 td
Significant strikes
69 of 153 · 45%
Total strikes
81 of 167 · 49%
Takedowns
3 of 7 · 43%
Control
9:40
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 72%Body 20%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 29%Clinch 3%Ground 68%
This fight on UFCStats
LDavid BranchApr 2018KO R10:00 ctrl14 str0 td
Significant strikes
14 of 29 · 48%
Total strikes
14 of 29 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:30
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 29%Body 14%Legs 57%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WAnthony SmithFeb 2018KO R23:20 ctrl58 str0 td
Significant strikes
58 of 82 · 71%
Total strikes
80 of 106 · 75%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
3:20
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:03
Kick to Body At Distance
Target
Head 57%Body 34%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 22%Clinch 5%Ground 72%
This fight on UFCStats
WJack HermanssonOct 2017KO R10:03 ctrl28 str0 td
Significant strikes
28 of 79 · 35%
Total strikes
29 of 80 · 36%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:03
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:59
Punch to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 79%Body 18%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 61%Clinch 14%Ground 25%
This fight on UFCStats
WGerald MeerschaertJul 2017KO R22:13 ctrl60 str0 td
Significant strikes
60 of 115 · 52%
Total strikes
65 of 121 · 54%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
2:13
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 2:04
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 80%Body 12%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 30%Clinch 5%Ground 65%
This fight on UFCStats
WJack MarshmanFeb 2017KO R21:40 ctrl27 str1 td
Significant strikes
27 of 71 · 38%
Total strikes
32 of 76 · 42%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
1:40
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 2:21
Kick to Head At Distance Wheel Kick
Target
Head 52%Body 15%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 67%Clinch 4%Ground 30%
This fight on UFCStats
LEric SpicelySep 2016SUB R11:05 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 9 · 22%
Total strikes
4 of 11 · 36%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:05
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:58
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 50%Body 50%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 50%Clinch 0%Ground 50%
This fight on UFCStats
LGegard MousasiJul 2016KO R10:00 ctrl5 str0 td
Significant strikes
5 of 13 · 38%
Total strikes
5 of 13 · 38%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:32
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 60%Body 0%Legs 40%
Position
Distance 80%Clinch 0%Ground 20%
This fight on UFCStats
WNate MarquardtMay 2016KO R10:27 ctrl16 str0 td
Significant strikes
16 of 30 · 53%
Total strikes
20 of 35 · 57%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:27
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 3:39
Punch to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 38%Body 38%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 6%Ground 19%
This fight on UFCStats
WElias TheodorouDec 2015U-DEC0:54 ctrl52 str1 td
Significant strikes
52 of 81 · 64%
Total strikes
83 of 112 · 74%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
0:54
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 44%Body 35%Legs 21%
Position
Distance 38%Clinch 58%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
WSteve BosseJun 2015KO R10:01 ctrl3 str0 td
Significant strikes
3 of 4 · 75%
Total strikes
3 of 4 · 75%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:29
Kick to Head At Distance
Target
Head 33%Body 33%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WAndy EnzJan 2015KO R10:07 ctrl20 str0 td
Significant strikes
20 of 38 · 53%
Total strikes
21 of 39 · 54%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:07
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:56
Punches to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 75%Body 15%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 30%Clinch 30%Ground 40%
This fight on UFCStats
LUriah HallJul 2014U-DEC1:00 ctrl44 str0 td
Significant strikes
44 of 129 · 34%
Total strikes
48 of 133 · 36%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
1:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 18%Body 9%Legs 73%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 11%Ground 7%
This fight on UFCStats
WRonny MarkesMar 2014KO R10:14 ctrl7 str0 td
Significant strikes
7 of 16 · 44%
Total strikes
8 of 17 · 47%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:14
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 0:53
Kick to Body At Distance
Target
Head 86%Body 14%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 14%Clinch 0%Ground 86%
This fight on UFCStats
LCezar FerreiraAug 2013SUB R10:04 ctrl0 str0 td
Significant strikes
0 of 1 · 0%
Total strikes
0 of 1 · 0%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 0:47
Guillotine Choke On Ground
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.