The Record

News
Back to the card

Tim Means

33-17-1 (1 NC)
42y·6' 2"·75" reach·Orthodox
2:08
Control / 15m
time on top
+1.39
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
53%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.8
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss March 2019. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Fired again Apr 2024

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in July 2014, 87 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Apr 2024

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 30 recorded bouts, 1457 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 61%Body 28%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 77%Clinch 14%Ground 10%
And how often each lands
Head40%
Body69%
Legs92%
Distance45%
Clinch75%
Ground68%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

15Wins6 KO · 2 SUB · 7 DEC
14Losses2 KO · 6 SUB · 6 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

7%
Magalhaes
30%
Salas
2%
Masvidal
5%
Castillo
7%
Magny
4%
Perpetuo
15%
Junior
16%
Lima
28%
Sullivan
6%
Brown
1%
Howard
2%
Homasi
29%
Oliveira
26%
Oliveira
0%
Garcia
0%
Muhammad
9%
Moraes
42%
Rainey
38%
Price
27%
Alves
2%
Rodriguez
41%
Staropoli
4%
Perry
54%
Dalby
23%
Holland
10%
Griffin
11%
Morono
25%
Fialho
60%
Medic
0%
McGee

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.68100%30
R25.53118%21
R35.11109%15

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min5.04
Strikes absorbed / min3.65
Striking accuracyof everything thrown49%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed60%
Takedowns / 15 min1.14
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land40%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed64%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.2
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.69
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 30 bouts9.6m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

44.7%
Landed at range
2,495 thrown over 30 bouts
38.6%
Expected
against these opponents
+6.1pp
Gap
above expected
70.0%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LCourt McGeeOct 2024SUB R10:00 ctrl5 str0 td
Significant strikes
5 of 13 · 38%
Total strikes
12 of 20 · 60%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 3:19
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 40%Body 40%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LUros MedicApr 2024KO R11:18 ctrl7 str0 td
Significant strikes
7 of 17 · 41%
Total strikes
10 of 21 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
1:18
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:09
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 14%Body 71%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 71%Clinch 29%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WAndre FialhoSep 2023KO R32:51 ctrl104 str0 td
Significant strikes
104 of 143 · 73%
Total strikes
134 of 178 · 75%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
2:51
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 1:15
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 63%Body 32%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 54%Clinch 29%Ground 17%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlex MoronoMay 2023SUB R20:46 ctrl40 str2 td
Significant strikes
40 of 87 · 46%
Total strikes
45 of 92 · 49%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
0:46
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 2:09
Guillotine Choke From Bottom Guard
Target
Head 40%Body 45%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 75%Clinch 25%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LMax GriffinOct 2022S-DEC1:27 ctrl47 str3 td
Significant strikes
47 of 115 · 41%
Total strikes
143 of 215 · 67%
Takedowns
3 of 5 · 60%
Control
1:27
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 38%Body 38%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 79%Clinch 15%Ground 6%
This fight on UFCStats
LKevin HollandJun 2022SUB R21:30 ctrl21 str2 td
Significant strikes
21 of 46 · 46%
Total strikes
25 of 52 · 48%
Takedowns
2 of 5 · 40%
Control
1:30
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 1:28
D'Arce Choke On Ground
Target
Head 38%Body 52%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WNicolas DalbyJun 2021U-DEC8:03 ctrl53 str1 td
Significant strikes
53 of 93 · 57%
Total strikes
94 of 134 · 70%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
8:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 38%Body 55%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 60%Clinch 32%Ground 8%
This fight on UFCStats
WMike PerryNov 2020U-DEC0:39 ctrl128 str0 td
Significant strikes
128 of 192 · 67%
Total strikes
143 of 207 · 69%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 67%Body 20%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WLaureano StaropoliAug 2020U-DEC6:07 ctrl85 str2 td
Significant strikes
85 of 147 · 58%
Total strikes
126 of 189 · 67%
Takedowns
2 of 6 · 33%
Control
6:07
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 65%Body 27%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 26%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
LDaniel RodriguezFeb 2020SUB R20:11 ctrl41 str1 td
Significant strikes
41 of 95 · 43%
Total strikes
41 of 95 · 43%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
0:11
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 3:37
Guillotine Choke Standing
Target
Head 46%Body 29%Legs 24%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WThiago AlvesDec 2019SUB R10:43 ctrl23 str0 td
Significant strikes
23 of 41 · 56%
Total strikes
24 of 42 · 57%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
0:43
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:38
Guillotine Choke On Ground
Target
Head 61%Body 35%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 52%Clinch 9%Ground 39%
This fight on UFCStats
LNiko PriceMar 2019KO R11:50 ctrl31 str1 td
Significant strikes
31 of 48 · 65%
Total strikes
35 of 54 · 65%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:50
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:50
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 87%Body 10%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 77%Clinch 3%Ground 19%
This fight on UFCStats
WRicky RaineyNov 2018KO R10:33 ctrl19 str2 td
Significant strikes
19 of 32 · 59%
Total strikes
26 of 39 · 67%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
0:33
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:18
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 89%Body 5%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 26%Clinch 0%Ground 74%
This fight on UFCStats
LSergio MoraesFeb 2018S-DEC1:21 ctrl129 str0 td
Significant strikes
129 of 274 · 47%
Total strikes
136 of 282 · 48%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:21
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 71%Body 17%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 1%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
LBelal MuhammadNov 2017S-DEC0:00 ctrl91 str0 td
Significant strikes
91 of 234 · 39%
Total strikes
93 of 236 · 39%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 54%Body 32%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 99%Clinch 1%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WAlex GarciaJun 2017U-DEC0:01 ctrl64 str0 td
Significant strikes
64 of 174 · 37%
Total strikes
76 of 186 · 41%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 48%Body 41%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlex OliveiraMar 2017SUB R22:01 ctrl9 str0 td
Significant strikes
9 of 12 · 75%
Total strikes
34 of 41 · 83%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
2:01
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 2:38
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 89%Body 11%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 0%Clinch 56%Ground 44%
This fight on UFCStats
NCAlex OliveiraDec 2016NC R11:02 ctrl17 str1 td
Significant strikes
17 of 23 · 74%
Total strikes
24 of 31 · 77%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Could not continue, R1 3:33
Knees by Means
Target
Head 53%Body 35%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 35%Clinch 35%Ground 29%
This fight on UFCStats
WSabah HomasiAug 2016KO R20:08 ctrl71 str0 td
Significant strikes
71 of 118 · 60%
Total strikes
82 of 130 · 63%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:08
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 2:56
Punches to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 80%Body 17%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 24%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJohn HowardDec 2015KO R20:04 ctrl37 str0 td
Significant strikes
37 of 70 · 53%
Total strikes
43 of 76 · 57%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:04
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 0:21
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 59%Body 30%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 3%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
LMatt BrownJul 2015SUB R10:17 ctrl16 str0 td
Significant strikes
16 of 40 · 40%
Total strikes
24 of 48 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 2 · 0%
Control
0:17
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 4:44
Guillotine Choke On Ground
Target
Head 81%Body 19%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 13%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WGeorge SullivanApr 2015SUB R33:46 ctrl48 str2 td
Significant strikes
48 of 130 · 37%
Total strikes
69 of 151 · 46%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
3:46
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 3:41
Arm Triangle On Ground
Target
Head 58%Body 25%Legs 17%
Position
Distance 63%Clinch 19%Ground 19%
This fight on UFCStats
WDhiego LimaFeb 2015KO R10:22 ctrl23 str0 td
Significant strikes
23 of 42 · 55%
Total strikes
25 of 47 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:22
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 2:17
Punch to Head In Clinch
Target
Head 70%Body 22%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 48%Clinch 43%Ground 9%
This fight on UFCStats
WMarcio Alexandre JuniorDec 2014S-DEC2:17 ctrl43 str1 td
Significant strikes
43 of 68 · 63%
Total strikes
53 of 79 · 67%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
2:17
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 56%Body 21%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 79%Clinch 7%Ground 14%
This fight on UFCStats
WHernani PerpetuoJul 2014U-DEC0:33 ctrl85 str1 td
Significant strikes
85 of 210 · 40%
Total strikes
85 of 211 · 40%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
0:33
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 52%Body 29%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 6%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LNeil MagnyMay 2014U-DEC1:02 ctrl30 str3 td
Significant strikes
30 of 66 · 45%
Total strikes
53 of 89 · 60%
Takedowns
3 of 4 · 75%
Control
1:02
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 60%Body 17%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 50%Clinch 27%Ground 23%
This fight on UFCStats
LDanny CastilloJul 2013U-DEC0:41 ctrl38 str0 td
Significant strikes
38 of 93 · 41%
Total strikes
126 of 184 · 68%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:41
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 50%Body 39%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 11%Ground 5%
This fight on UFCStats
LJorge MasvidalApr 2013U-DEC0:18 ctrl43 str0 td
Significant strikes
43 of 133 · 32%
Total strikes
68 of 161 · 42%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
0:18
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 77%Body 16%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 56%Clinch 5%Ground 40%
This fight on UFCStats
WJustin SalasJun 2012KO R10:20 ctrl26 str0 td
Significant strikes
26 of 42 · 62%
Total strikes
30 of 46 · 65%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:20
Knockdowns
2
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 1:06
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 96%Body 4%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 35%Clinch 31%Ground 35%
This fight on UFCStats
WBernardo MagalhaesFeb 2012U-DEC1:00 ctrl83 str0 td
Significant strikes
83 of 170 · 49%
Total strikes
98 of 186 · 53%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
1:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 59%Body 37%Legs 4%
Position
Distance 55%Clinch 25%Ground 19%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.