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TJ Brown

17-11-0
36y·5' 9"·72" reach·Switch
4:40
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.48
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
50%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in December 2022, 136 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 8 recorded bouts, 342 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 72%Body 20%Legs 8%
Position
Distance 79%Clinch 12%Ground 9%
And how often each lands
Head38%
Body73%
Legs75%
Distance39%
Clinch81%
Ground86%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

4Wins2 SUB · 2 DEC
5Losses3 SUB · 2 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

87%
Griffin
7%
Chavez
4%
III
51%
Rosa
19%
Nuerdanbieke
71%
Silva
10%
Algeo
12%
Elkins

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.40100%8
R22.5859%8
R32.8765%6

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.37
Strikes absorbed / min2.89
Striking accuracyof everything thrown44%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed49%
Takedowns / 15 min3.41
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land57%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed36%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.3
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together6.26
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 8 bouts12.7m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

39.3%
Landed at range
687 thrown over 8 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LDarren ElkinsOct 2023SUB R31:29 ctrl15 str2 td
Significant strikes
15 of 50 · 30%
Total strikes
45 of 86 · 52%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
1:29
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Submission, R3 2:23
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 73%Body 7%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LBill AlgeoApr 2023SUB R20:39 ctrl46 str1 td
Significant strikes
46 of 91 · 51%
Total strikes
49 of 94 · 52%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
0:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Submission, R2 1:40
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 74%Body 17%Legs 9%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 28%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WErik SilvaDec 2022SUB R39:43 ctrl24 str2 td
Significant strikes
24 of 38 · 63%
Total strikes
82 of 109 · 75%
Takedowns
2 of 7 · 29%
Control
9:43
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
2
Ended
Submission, R3 3:41
Arm Triangle From Side Control
Target
Head 83%Body 17%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 54%Clinch 25%Ground 21%
This fight on UFCStats
LShayilan NuerdanbiekeJun 2022U-DEC2:54 ctrl42 str1 td
Significant strikes
42 of 99 · 42%
Total strikes
58 of 125 · 46%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
2:54
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
4
Reversals
2
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 71%Body 21%Legs 7%
Position
Distance 86%Clinch 7%Ground 7%
This fight on UFCStats
WCharles RosaJan 2022U-DEC7:39 ctrl58 str6 td
Significant strikes
58 of 99 · 59%
Total strikes
88 of 141 · 62%
Takedowns
6 of 8 · 75%
Control
7:39
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
3
Reversals
2
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 79%Body 17%Legs 3%
Position
Distance 84%Clinch 3%Ground 12%
This fight on UFCStats
WKai Kamaka IIIMay 2021S-DEC0:36 ctrl82 str2 td
Significant strikes
82 of 211 · 39%
Total strikes
110 of 243 · 45%
Takedowns
2 of 4 · 50%
Control
0:36
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 66%Body 23%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 4%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats
LDanny ChavezAug 2020U-DEC1:03 ctrl43 str0 td
Significant strikes
43 of 139 · 31%
Total strikes
59 of 156 · 38%
Takedowns
0 of 6 · 0%
Control
1:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 58%Body 28%Legs 14%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 12%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LJordan GriffinFeb 2020SUB R27:31 ctrl32 str7 td
Significant strikes
32 of 47 · 68%
Total strikes
91 of 119 · 76%
Takedowns
7 of 7 · 100%
Control
7:31
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 3:38
Guillotine Choke From Bottom Side Control
Target
Head 81%Body 19%Legs 0%
Position
Distance 28%Clinch 31%Ground 41%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.