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Umar Nurmagomedov

20-1-0
30y·5' 8"·69" reach·Orthodox
5:45
Control / 15m
time on top
+2.00
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
38%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.2
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in October 2025, 107 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 10 recorded bouts, 502 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 68%Body 20%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 68%Clinch 6%Ground 26%
And how often each lands
Head50%
Body71%
Legs87%
Distance51%
Clinch74%
Ground76%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

8Wins1 KO · 2 SUB · 5 DEC
1Losses1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

34%
Morozov
45%
Kelleher
72%
Maness
1%
Barcelos
76%
Almakhan
21%
Sandhagen
6%
Dvalishvili
72%
Bautista
32%
Figueiredo
29%
Yadong

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R13.01100%10
R24.51150%8
R33.90130%6
R45.102
R53.002

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min3.86
Strikes absorbed / min1.86
Striking accuracyof everything thrown56%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed61%
Takedowns / 15 min4.03
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land46%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed79%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.2
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together5.72
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 10 bouts13.3m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

50.3%
Landed at range
654 thrown over 9 bouts
40.9%
Expected
against these opponents
+9.4pp
Gap
above expected
87.3%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LSong YadongAug 2026KO R21:58 ctrl13 str1 td
Significant strikes
13 of 21 · 62%
Total strikes
23 of 32 · 72%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
1:58
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 1:48
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 54%Body 0%Legs 46%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WDeiveson FigueiredoJan 2026U-DEC4:50 ctrl34 str2 td
Significant strikes
34 of 72 · 47%
Total strikes
103 of 167 · 62%
Takedowns
2 of 6 · 33%
Control
4:50
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 56%Body 32%Legs 12%
Position
Distance 82%Clinch 6%Ground 12%
This fight on UFCStats
WMario BautistaOct 2025U-DEC10:46 ctrl32 str11 td
Significant strikes
32 of 54 · 59%
Total strikes
81 of 105 · 77%
Takedowns
11 of 14 · 79%
Control
10:46
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 75%Body 19%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 6%Ground 22%
This fight on UFCStats
LMerab DvalishviliJan 2025U-DEC1:37 ctrl104 str2 td
Significant strikes
104 of 237 · 44%
Total strikes
113 of 246 · 46%
Takedowns
2 of 15 · 13%
Control
1:37
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 73%Body 21%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 12%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WCory SandhagenAug 2024U-DEC5:11 ctrl98 str5 td
Significant strikes
98 of 187 · 52%
Total strikes
123 of 219 · 56%
Takedowns
5 of 13 · 38%
Control
5:11
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 49%Body 28%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WBekzat AlmakhanMar 2024U-DEC11:26 ctrl68 str5 td
Significant strikes
68 of 98 · 69%
Total strikes
145 of 197 · 74%
Takedowns
5 of 5 · 100%
Control
11:26
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 94%Body 0%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 10%Clinch 0%Ground 90%
This fight on UFCStats
WRaoni BarcelosJan 2023KO R10:02 ctrl36 str0 td
Significant strikes
36 of 51 · 71%
Total strikes
36 of 51 · 71%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:02
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:40
Punch to Head At Distance
Target
Head 56%Body 33%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 0%Ground 3%
This fight on UFCStats
WNate ManessJun 2022U-DEC10:49 ctrl74 str3 td
Significant strikes
74 of 100 · 74%
Total strikes
128 of 161 · 80%
Takedowns
3 of 4 · 75%
Control
10:49
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 81%Body 14%Legs 5%
Position
Distance 23%Clinch 0%Ground 77%
This fight on UFCStats
WBrian KelleherMar 2022SUB R11:27 ctrl18 str1 td
Significant strikes
18 of 26 · 69%
Total strikes
21 of 29 · 72%
Takedowns
1 of 5 · 20%
Control
1:27
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 3:15
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 50%Body 39%Legs 11%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 28%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WSergey MorozovJan 2021SUB R22:57 ctrl25 str5 td
Significant strikes
25 of 41 · 61%
Total strikes
32 of 48 · 67%
Takedowns
5 of 11 · 45%
Control
2:57
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 3:39
Rear Naked Choke
Target
Head 56%Body 16%Legs 28%
Position
Distance 72%Clinch 24%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.