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Yair Rodriguez

21-6-0 (1 NC)
33y·5' 11"·71" reach·Orthodox
1:16
Control / 15m
time on top
+0.87
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
45%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0.5
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss July 2023. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

The Odometer

Backwards

Crossed into the heaviest third of head strikes eaten for their age in October 2015, 43 head strikes before that night. Never-yet-stopped fighters carrying that kind of mileage took a first KO in 11.0% of fights; the lightest third ran 15.6%.

Fired again Jul 2023

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 2 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 16 recorded bouts, 984 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 55%Body 20%Legs 25%
Position
Distance 78%Clinch 7%Ground 15%
And how often each lands
Head35%
Body69%
Legs87%
Distance44%
Clinch69%
Ground62%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

11Wins4 KO · 1 SUB · 6 DEC
4Losses2 KO · 1 SUB · 1 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

26%
Morales
4%
Rosa
3%
Hooker
54%
Fili
2%
Caceres
6%
Penn
0%
Edgar
1%
Jung
0%
Stephens
21%
Stephens
5%
Holloway
0%
Ortega
0%
Emmett
0%
Volkanovski
14%
Ortega
11%
Pitbull

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R14.38100%16
R24.82110%14
R34.2898%10
R44.53103%3
R56.47148%3

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min4.65
Strikes absorbed / min3.78
Striking accuracyof everything thrown46%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed52%
Takedowns / 15 min0.71
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land29%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed59%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.6
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together8.43
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 16 bouts13.2m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

43.7%
Landed at range
1,761 thrown over 16 bouts
38.0%
Expected
against these opponents
+5.7pp
Gap
above expected
83.6%
Coverage
from real records
The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

WPatricio PitbullApr 2025U-DEC1:43 ctrl70 str1 td
Significant strikes
70 of 122 · 57%
Total strikes
97 of 157 · 62%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
1:43
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 54%Body 26%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 61%Clinch 3%Ground 36%
This fight on UFCStats
LBrian OrtegaFeb 2024SUB R31:32 ctrl55 str0 td
Significant strikes
55 of 115 · 48%
Total strikes
64 of 135 · 47%
Takedowns
0 of 1 · 0%
Control
1:32
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R3 0:58
Arm Triangle From Side Control
Target
Head 65%Body 20%Legs 15%
Position
Distance 62%Clinch 16%Ground 22%
This fight on UFCStats
LAlexander VolkanovskiJul 2023KO R30:00 ctrl40 str0 td
Significant strikes
40 of 80 · 50%
Total strikes
57 of 103 · 55%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R3 4:19
Punches to Head On Ground
Target
Head 33%Body 28%Legs 40%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 0%Ground 5%
This fight on UFCStats
WJosh EmmettFeb 2023SUB R20:00 ctrl62 str0 td
Significant strikes
62 of 107 · 58%
Total strikes
98 of 143 · 69%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R2 4:19
Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard
Target
Head 58%Body 29%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 11%Ground 13%
This fight on UFCStats
WBrian OrtegaJul 2022KO R10:00 ctrl23 str0 td
Significant strikes
23 of 46 · 50%
Total strikes
48 of 76 · 63%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:11
to Shoulder injury
Target
Head 78%Body 0%Legs 22%
Position
Distance 91%Clinch 4%Ground 4%
This fight on UFCStats
LMax HollowayNov 2021U-DEC1:20 ctrl159 str1 td
Significant strikes
159 of 352 · 45%
Total strikes
186 of 383 · 49%
Takedowns
1 of 5 · 20%
Control
1:20
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
1
Ended
Unanimous decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 49%Body 15%Legs 36%
Position
Distance 96%Clinch 3%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
WJeremy StephensOct 2019U-DEC3:10 ctrl96 str0 td
Significant strikes
96 of 170 · 56%
Total strikes
136 of 213 · 64%
Takedowns
0 of 3 · 0%
Control
3:10
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 68%Body 15%Legs 18%
Position
Distance 56%Clinch 6%Ground 38%
This fight on UFCStats
NCJeremy StephensSep 2019NC R10:00 ctrl2 str0 td
Significant strikes
2 of 2 · 100%
Total strikes
2 of 2 · 100%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Could not continue, R1 0:15
Eye Poke by Rodriguez
Target
Head 0%Body 0%Legs 100%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WChan Sung JungNov 2018KO R50:19 ctrl119 str0 td
Significant strikes
119 of 271 · 44%
Total strikes
129 of 281 · 46%
Takedowns
0 of 4 · 0%
Control
0:19
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R5 4:59
Elbow to Head At Distance
Target
Head 50%Body 20%Legs 30%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 5%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LFrankie EdgarMay 2017DOC R20:00 ctrl16 str0 td
Significant strikes
16 of 42 · 38%
Total strikes
29 of 57 · 51%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Doctor's stoppage, R2 5:00
Eye Injury
Target
Head 88%Body 6%Legs 6%
Position
Distance 19%Clinch 13%Ground 69%
This fight on UFCStats
WBJ PennJan 2017KO R20:19 ctrl55 str0 td
Significant strikes
55 of 111 · 50%
Total strikes
56 of 113 · 50%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:19
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 0:24
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 60%Body 27%Legs 13%
Position
Distance 62%Clinch 9%Ground 29%
This fight on UFCStats
WAlex CaceresAug 2016S-DEC0:32 ctrl120 str1 td
Significant strikes
120 of 338 · 36%
Total strikes
124 of 343 · 36%
Takedowns
1 of 2 · 50%
Control
0:32
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 5 rounds
Target
Head 53%Body 14%Legs 33%
Position
Distance 88%Clinch 5%Ground 7%
This fight on UFCStats
WAndre FiliApr 2016KO R23:55 ctrl25 str2 td
Significant strikes
25 of 53 · 47%
Total strikes
39 of 68 · 57%
Takedowns
2 of 2 · 100%
Control
3:55
Knockdowns
1
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R2 2:15
Kick to Head At Distance Switch Kick
Target
Head 44%Body 28%Legs 28%
Position
Distance 64%Clinch 0%Ground 36%
This fight on UFCStats
WDan HookerOct 2015U-DEC0:31 ctrl52 str2 td
Significant strikes
52 of 104 · 50%
Total strikes
67 of 123 · 54%
Takedowns
2 of 9 · 22%
Control
0:31
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 52%Body 29%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 73%Clinch 12%Ground 15%
This fight on UFCStats
WCharles RosaJun 2015S-DEC0:36 ctrl56 str1 td
Significant strikes
56 of 100 · 56%
Total strikes
97 of 149 · 65%
Takedowns
1 of 1 · 100%
Control
0:36
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
2
Reversals
2
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 59%Body 18%Legs 23%
Position
Distance 70%Clinch 7%Ground 23%
This fight on UFCStats
WLeonardo MoralesNov 2014U-DEC3:56 ctrl34 str2 td
Significant strikes
34 of 83 · 41%
Total strikes
41 of 92 · 45%
Takedowns
2 of 6 · 33%
Control
3:56
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
5
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 59%Body 24%Legs 18%
Position
Distance 85%Clinch 15%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.