The Record

News
Back to the card

Zhalgas Zhumagulov

14-9-0
38y·5' 4"·66" reach·Switch
1:39
Control / 15m
time on top
-0.62
Striking diff.
landed minus absorbed
100%
Finish rate
wins inside the distance
0
Power
knockdowns per 100 landed

Tells

Non-traditional predictors we've tested against the record. Only the ones that fire on this fighter show up here.

Chin Decay

Predictive

First KO loss December 2021. Fighters at the same age and mileage lose by KO in 11.3% of fights; after a first KO it runs 17.3%.

Read the research

Checked 3 tells for this fighter. 1 fired.

How they fight

Every significant strike they have landed across 7 recorded bouts, 425 in total. Target and position are two readings of the same strikes, so each adds to 100.

Target
Head 36%Body 32%Legs 31%
Position
Distance 95%Clinch 4%Ground 0%
And how often each lands
Head25%
Body63%
Legs87%
Distance42%
Clinch68%
Ground40%

How fights end

UFC bouts only, so these will not add up to the record above. Counts rather than rates: two knockouts in three wins is not a 67% finisher.

1Wins1 SUB
6Losses1 KO · 5 DEC

Control, bout by bout

Seconds spent controlling the opponent in each fight, oldest on the left. UFCStats records this per bout and never adds it up; this is what that looks like added up.

3%
Paiva
3%
Albazi
10%
Rivera
0%
Kape
37%
Molina
7%
Johnson
8%
Van

As the fight goes on

Which measure to show

Significant strikes landed, per minute fought. Every round is measured against round one, except rounds reached by fewer than 3 bouts, which are dimmed and left uncompared.

Landed / minvs R1Bouts
R15.34100%7
R25.72107%5
R34.6487%5

Only fights that reached a round count towards it, so later rounds are a smaller sample.

Career numbers

Strikes landed / min5.24
Strikes absorbed / min5.86
Striking accuracyof everything thrown43%
Striking defenceof what comes back, missed52%
Takedowns / 15 min1.3
Takedown accuracyof attempts that land19%
Takedown defenceof attempts stuffed75%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.2
Pacestrikes landed and absorbed, added together11.1
Average bout lengthhow long their fights actually last, across 7 bouts11.6m

Earned Accuracy

How hard the opponents on this record were to hit at distance, and whether they beat it. Distance strikes only, so nobody gets credit for accuracy they picked up hammering someone already flat on the floor.

42.3%
Landed at range
954 thrown over 7 bouts
Expected
against these opponents
Gap
below the cutoffs
Coverage
from real records

Too much of this record was set against opponents who had no distance history of their own yet. The expected number would mostly be the division average wearing a disguise, so it's held back.

The fine print

Distance strikes only

Nothing thrown in the clinch or on the ground counts. Those land at about 72% and 71%, against 44% at distance, so a blended accuracy mostly measures where a fight happened. Rank the sport that way and its best strikers are all wrestlers.

One pass, not a rating

How much each opponent lets through is taken raw. It isn't adjusted for who they fought, so a fighter whose opponents all had soft schedules comes out looking better here than they are. Running it to convergence is a later job.

Coverage, and who gets ranked

Coverage is how much of the expected number came from the opponents' own records instead of the division average. Under 65% it's mostly the division talking, so the comparison gets hidden. Same for anyone under 5 qualifying bouts, or under 300 distance strikes of their own, which is where an accuracy still moves on a single exchange. Miss any of the three and you'll see what they landed, nothing else, and they stay out of any ranking.

Short records get pulled to the middle

An opponent who hasn't been shot at much gets dragged toward their division's average, and the drag fades as their record fills in. At 60 distance strikes faced, their own record and the division average count for the same.

Bout log

LJoshua VanJun 2023S-DEC1:10 ctrl103 str1 td
Significant strikes
103 of 287 · 36%
Total strikes
104 of 291 · 36%
Takedowns
1 of 5 · 20%
Control
1:10
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 44%Body 27%Legs 29%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LCharles JohnsonNov 2022S-DEC1:03 ctrl119 str1 td
Significant strikes
119 of 234 · 51%
Total strikes
141 of 258 · 55%
Takedowns
1 of 4 · 25%
Control
1:03
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 30%Body 29%Legs 41%
Position
Distance 94%Clinch 5%Ground 1%
This fight on UFCStats
LJeff MolinaJun 2022S-DEC5:32 ctrl37 str2 td
Significant strikes
37 of 112 · 33%
Total strikes
68 of 146 · 47%
Takedowns
2 of 13 · 15%
Control
5:32
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Split decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 27%Body 46%Legs 27%
Position
Distance 76%Clinch 24%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LManel KapeDec 2021KO R10:00 ctrl31 str0 td
Significant strikes
31 of 79 · 39%
Total strikes
31 of 79 · 39%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:00
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
KO / TKO, R1 4:02
Punches to Head At Distance
Target
Head 61%Body 19%Legs 19%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
WJerome RiveraJul 2021SUB R10:12 ctrl10 str0 td
Significant strikes
10 of 24 · 42%
Total strikes
10 of 24 · 42%
Takedowns
0 of 0
Control
0:12
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
1
Reversals
0
Ended
Submission, R1 2:02
Guillotine Choke Standing
Target
Head 40%Body 40%Legs 20%
Position
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LAmir AlbaziJan 2021U-DEC0:27 ctrl59 str1 td
Significant strikes
59 of 132 · 45%
Total strikes
74 of 150 · 49%
Takedowns
1 of 3 · 33%
Control
0:27
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 37%Body 53%Legs 10%
Position
Distance 98%Clinch 2%Ground 0%
This fight on UFCStats
LRaulian PaivaJul 2020U-DEC0:29 ctrl66 str2 td
Significant strikes
66 of 119 · 55%
Total strikes
73 of 126 · 58%
Takedowns
2 of 11 · 18%
Control
0:29
Knockdowns
0
Sub attempts
0
Reversals
0
Ended
Unanimous decision, 3 rounds
Target
Head 29%Body 26%Legs 45%
Position
Distance 97%Clinch 2%Ground 2%
This fight on UFCStats

Numbers from UFCStats. Control time and strike placement are summed from each bout, everything else is as published.